reprinted from:

Taxing times could lie ahead for Scottish tourism
By Keith
Aitken
Copyright 2001
The Scotsman Publications Ltd.
Article date: November 11, 2001
The notion
that every idea has its time has always seemed distinctly suspect. It
provides unwanted encouragement for the dim and deluded, and a soft excuse
for the plain wrong.
On the other hand, the reverse certainly does apply: inappropriately timed,
the best idea in the world can sound perfectly daft.
Given the well-founded mood of crisis surrounding the Scottish tourism
industry, it is hard to imagine a less apposite time to ponder a new tourism
tax. Which is why it was irresistibly intriguing last week to find three
serious figures from the industry floating just that idea. Roy Wood and
Gordon Barron, both from Strathclyde University's Scottish Hotel School, and
Turnberry hotelier Bill Kerr, stop short of explicitly committing to the
proposal, in their paper for the journal Scottish Affairs.
Well, such is the privilege of the academic and there's no denying that, on
past evidence, the hospitality industry actively loathes the idea. The
current wrack of foot and mouth, an overvalued pound, an imploding tourist
board and September 11 has probably not made minds any more receptive.
Yet taxes rarely waft into being on the warm endorsement of business. The
authors are bold enough at least to explore the idea dispassionately. That
alone should commend their paper to an industry as short of ideas as of
investment, and currently confronting adversity with all the calibrated
imagination of a decapitated bantam.
Besides, there are grounds for believing that a tax, properly positioned,
might actually help. Properly positioned means properly, and above all
transparently, hypothecated.
When the idea of a so-called 'bed tax' was last tossed into public debate
two years ago, by Glasgow tourism panjandrum Eddie Friel, the argument
focused mainly on how much harm it might do. That's an important topic, but
so is how much good.
Two truths need to be kept firmly in sight. First, Scottish tourism's
decline has been long-term, not just attributable to recent exceptional
misfortunes. Second, the steady fall in revenues has run against the trend
for the UK as a whole. What that conveys is that there is probably something
inherently wrong with both the product and how we sell it.
To which the industry would instinctively reply that you don't address that
by increasing costs. This was the argument robustly deployed last time
around, when a 2% levy on hotel bills was mooted - and rightly dismissed -
as a means of financing Scotland's woefully undynamic Area Tourist Board
network.
Suppose instead that the proceeds were channelled into strategic training
and investment. Not just in bed-and-board and those ghastly fibreglass
fiascos with 'experience' in their titles: it could also help improve the
peripheral services that so affect how visitors see us: surly publicans,
monoglot taxi drivers, child-phobic restaurants, understocked gift shops,
filthy lavatories, littered streets and other such rare delights of la belle
Ecosse.
Wood, Barron and Kerr posit some other potential gains: that a bed tax might
conceivably help weed out low-quality accommodation; that it is progressive,
in that the better off pay most; and that outsiders mostly pay while locals
benefit. Fine. But what of the big worry: that the cost would either have to
be absorbed in already minimal margins, or passed on to an already
evaporating customer base?
The authors tour the available research and judge it ambiguous. Some studies
do find visitors tax-sensitive. Yet the UK and Germany, with Europe's third
and fourth highest VAT on hotel accommodation, have Europe's fourth and
fifth biggest tourism incomes.
Hundreds of thousands of Brits each year pay various tourism taxes on
holiday. I have paid out hefty sums at airports for the privilege of
entering Turkey and leaving Bermuda. I can't say it has influenced my choice
of destination.
Besides, Scotland's hotels are increasingly owned by national or
international chains, which could fairly easily absorb a Holyrood bed tax.
Were the revenues ploughed back to grow bed-night demand in struggling
locations they even might find it worth the pain. There could, though, be a
risk that smaller indigenous operations, some of which are worth preserving,
would be put at further competitive disadvantage.
It is an inconclusive argument and the authors resist definitive
conclusions. Fears that duplicitous government might hijack revenues, or
hoteliers use the tax as an excuse to invest even less in the quality of
their products, need more than trite answers. But in its current fix, the
industry cannot afford to rule any serious idea off the agenda. Eccentric as
the timing of this idea may seem, its substance is serious.
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